The Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO) released its latest prediction on Saturday, confirming that the new moon of Rabi-ul-Awwal 1447 AH will be born on August 23 at 11:06 am. With the moon expected to be over 32 hours old by sunset on August 24, experts say conditions will be favorable for sighting across Pakistan, especially in coastal areas.
When Will Rabi-ul-Awwal Begin?
According to SUPARCO’s moon visibility forecast, the interval between sunset and moonset in Karachi and other coastal regions will be around 45 minutes on August 24. If skies remain clear, the crescent should be visible to the naked eye.
This means that the first day of Rabi-ul-Awwal is expected to begin on Monday, August 25, 2025. The announcement will be officially confirmed by the Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee after its nationwide meetings.
Eid Milad-un-Nabi Likely on September 5
If the moon is sighted as predicted, 12 Rabi-ul-Awwal — the date marking the birth anniversary of Prophet Muhammad (PBUH) — will fall on Thursday, September 5, 2025.
The date is of major significance in Pakistan, where Eid Milad-un-Nabi is observed with religious processions, Milad gatherings, and public holidays. Scholars and event organizers rely on these forecasts to plan processions, mosque decorations, and large-scale religious events that draw thousands of participants.
SUPARCO’s Role in Moon Forecasting
SUPARCO regularly issues scientific predictions to aid moon-sighting decisions in Pakistan. By calculating the age of the moon, its altitude, and its separation from the sun, the agency provides data that helps the Ruet-e-Hilal Committee in making its official announcements.
“By sunset on August 24, the moon will be 32 hours and 13 minutes old, which makes it highly likely to be visible,” SUPARCO stated.
The involvement of a scientific body strengthens transparency in a process that is closely followed by religious authorities, media outlets, and the general public.
Religious and National Significance
Rabi-ul-Awwal holds special importance in the Islamic calendar as it marks the birth of Prophet Muhammad (PBUH). In Pakistan, the 12th of Rabi-ul-Awwal is observed with great reverence, featuring street processions, mosque illuminations, and public conferences on Seerat-un-Nabi.
Every year, the federal and provincial governments declare a national holiday on the occasion. Security and traffic plans are also issued in major cities like Karachi, Lahore, and Islamabad to manage large gatherings.
What Happens Next?
While SUPARCO’s prediction gives early guidance, the final word rests with the Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee. The committee, comprising religious scholars and astronomy experts, will meet on August 24 to verify moon sighting reports from across the country before making an official declaration.
Until then, Muslims in Pakistan are advised to follow official updates and prepare for the start of Rabi-ul-Awwal, a month of devotion and remembrance
